Backasting

Posted on Posted in Analytics Strategy, Business, Design Thinking, Strategic Analytics

Backcasting is a fantastic technique. It was invented in Canada. You’re welcome to use it. If it sounds like forecasting – well – that’s because it’s kind of like forecasting. With an important difference. That wikipedia page says: Whereas forecasting is predicting the future (unknown) values of the dependent variables based on known values of the independent variable, backcasting can be considered the prediction […]

How I made peace with Total Addressable Market

Posted on Posted in Data Driven Culture, Design Thinking, Machine Intelligence, Marketing Science, SaaS, Technology

I was 28 and sleepless when I encountered a marketing version of the logistic function. It was beautiful. It’s one of those things you’re taught about in one context, and when you’re shown it from another angle, it expands your mind. It was like discovering Pi for the first time. I could use it to […]

Goal Formation

Posted on Posted in Business, Data Driven Culture, Data Science, Decision Neuroscience, Design Thinking, Economics, Machine Intelligence, Technology

Bart Gajderowicz delivered a great talk at Machine Intelligence Toronto about how people go through stages in accomplishing a goal [1]. The talk was about homelessness and AI approaches to public policy. I instantly saw a connection to all sorts of tensions that people endure when they set out on a goal. To distill the […]

The Creativity of Data Science for Creative Content

Posted on Posted in Business, Data Science, Design Thinking, Machine Learning, RecSys

Let’s start with a story. Daan did a traditional fast follow. He calls it Netherflix. His story was: “It’s like Netflix…for The Netherlands!”. At first, he buys rights on the cheap, pays for digital subtitling, and has a successful kickoff. He gets through to 10% household penetration, or roughly 700,000 subscribers, with an annualized gross revenue of […]

Siri and Search

Posted on Posted in Data Science, Design Thinking

Gary Morgenthaler had a few interesting statements to make: “Therefore, when Siri was an independent company, its plan was to map these domains deeply and seamlessly to automate transactions for its users within them. For example, “Buy that Steve Jobs biography book and send it to my dad”; “Send a dozen yellow roses to my […]

The definition of insight

Posted on Posted in Analytics, Analytics Strategy, Design Thinking, Marketing Science, Strategic Analytics

An insight is: New information Executable Causes action Profitable Or, more detailed, an insight is: A piece of information that you didn’t know before, which – Can feasibly executed, culturally acceptable and of a scale relevant to the firm, and – Causes a decision to be made that wouldn’t have been made otherwise, and – […]